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Simulation #2


Simulation #2

Total Big Blinds In Tournament Big Blinds in P1’s Stack Simulated P(P1 Wins) Expected P(Player 1 Wins) Difference Between Theory and Simulation
4 3 0.75017 ± 0.00014 0.75000 -0.00017
6 4 0.66679 ± 0.00015 0.66667 -0.00012
6 5 0.83329 ± 0.00012 0.83333 0.00004
10 6 0.60062 ± 0.00049 0.60000 -0.00062
10 7 0.70046 ± 0.00046 0.70000 -0.00046
10 8 0.80098 ± 0.00040 0.80000 -0.00098
10 9 0.89988 ± 0.00030 0.90000 0.00012
14 8 0.57106 ± 0.00049 0.57143 0.00037
14 9 0.64319 ± 0.00048 0.64286 -0.00033
14 10 0.71493 ± 0.00045 0.71429 -0.00064
14 11 0.78608 ± 0.00041 0.78571 -0.00037
14 12 0.85766 ± 0.00035 0.85714 -0.00052
14 13 0.92861 ± 0.00026 0.92857 -0.00004
20 11 0.54988 ± 0.00050 0.55000 0.00012
20 12 0.60052 ± 0.00049 0.60000 -0.00052
20 13 0.65116 ± 0.00048 0.65000 -0.00116
20 14 0.69946 ± 0.00046 0.70000 0.00054
20 15 0.74982 ± 0.00043 0.75000 0.00018
20 16 0.79968 ± 0.00040 0.80000 0.00032
20 17 0.85009 ± 0.00036 0.85000 -0.00009
20 18 0.89991 ± 0.00030 0.90000 0.00009
20 19 0.94999 ± 0.00022 0.95000 0.00001
30 16 0.53224 ± 0.00050 0.53333 0.00109
30 17 0.56682 ± 0.00050 0.56667 -0.00015
30 18 0.60033 ± 0.00049 0.60000 -0.00033
30 19 0.63238 ± 0.00048 0.63333 0.00095
30 20 0.66746 ± 0.00047 0.66667 -0.00079
30 21 0.70017 ± 0.00046 0.70000 -0.00017
30 22 0.73319 ± 0.00044 0.73333 0.00014
30 23 0.76690 ± 0.00042 0.76667 -0.00023
30 24 0.79987 ± 0.00040 0.80000 0.00013
30 25 0.83359 ± 0.00037 0.83333 -0.00026
30 26 0.86698 ± 0.00034 0.86667 -0.00031
30 27 0.90036 ± 0.00030 0.90000 -0.00036
30 28 0.93325 ± 0.00025 0.93333 0.00008
30 29 0.96692 ± 0.00018 0.96667 -0.00025
50 26 0.52033 ± 0.00050 0.52000 -0.00033
50 27 0.54070 ± 0.00050 0.54000 -0.00070
50 28 0.55947 ± 0.00050 0.56000 0.00053
50 29 0.57859 ± 0.00049 0.58000 0.00141
50 30 0.59966 ± 0.00049 0.60000 0.00034
50 31 0.61948 ± 0.00049 0.62000 0.00052
50 32 0.63954 ± 0.00048 0.64000 0.00046
50 33 0.66012 ± 0.00047 0.66000 -0.00012
50 34 0.68000 ± 0.00047 0.68000 0.00000
50 35 0.69988 ± 0.00046 0.70000 0.00012
50 36 0.72033 ± 0.00045 0.72000 -0.00033
50 37 0.73888 ± 0.00044 0.74000 0.00112
50 38 0.75970 ± 0.00043 0.76000 0.00030
50 39 0.78075 ± 0.00041 0.78000 -0.00075
50 40 0.79972 ± 0.00040 0.80000 0.00028
50 41 0.82003 ± 0.00038 0.82000 -0.00003
50 42 0.84022 ± 0.00037 0.84000 -0.00022
50 43 0.85984 ± 0.00035 0.86000 0.00016
50 44 0.88017 ± 0.00032 0.88000 -0.00017
50 45 0.90029 ± 0.00030 0.90000 -0.00029
50 46 0.91971 ± 0.00027 0.92000 0.00029
50 47 0.94015 ± 0.00024 0.94000 -0.00015
50 48 0.96006 ± 0.00020 0.96000 -0.00006
50 49 0.98020 ± 0.00014 0.98000 -0.00020

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